The movie the passengers are watching is Alfred Hitchcock's North by Northwest (1959), which is about a man who is mistaken for a government spy.
The Black Market Bazaar is likely based on the real-world Silk Road, an online narcotics marketplace shut down by the FBI in October 2013.
Owen refers to the law enforcement officers who entered his kitchen to detain him as "Marshals Crockett and Tubbs"; a reference to the 1980s crime drama series Miami Vice (1984).
The Machine calculates the probability of Reese's death at over 26%. By contrast, it estimates the likelihood of the situation resolving itself at less than 1%.