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2016 Box office predictions

by chi-dantran-755-11295 • Created 9 years ago • Modified 8 years ago
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  • 61 titles
  • Ben Affleck and Henry Cavill in Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice (2016)

    1. Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice

    20162h 31mR44Metascore
    6.5 (771K)
    Batman is manipulated by Lex Luthor to fear Superman. Superman´s existence is meanwhile dividing the world and he is framed for murder during an international crisis. The heroes clash and force the neutral Wonder Woman to reemerge.
    DirectorZack SnyderStarsBen AffleckHenry CavillAmy Adams
    Weekend: 157 million
    Domestic: 370 million
    Worldwide: 1.2 billion
    It's Batman vs freaking Superman. We have all been waiting for this since 2005, when superheroes started to be cool. The combined forces of these two should wreck up multiplexes, and there is an outside chance of 2 billion worldwide, although that is highly unlikely. Tracking is below expectations, though.
  • Will Smith, Jared Leto, Adewale Akinnuoye-Agbaje, Adam Beach, Viola Davis, Jay Hernandez, Joel Kinnaman, Jai Courtney, Margot Robbie, Cara Delevingne, and Karen Fukuhara in Suicide Squad (2016)

    2. Suicide Squad

    20162h 3mPG-1340Metascore
    5.9 (741K)
    A secret government agency recruits some of the most dangerous incarcerated super-villains to form a defensive task force. Their first mission: save the world from the apocalypse.
    DirectorDavid AyerStarsWill SmithJared LetoMargot Robbie
    Weekend: 145 million
    Domestic: 310 million
    Worldwide: 765 million
    The villain counterpart of Justice League, Suicide Squad should have been an outright failure. But if the 2 insane trailers were anything to go by, this is gonna be outright entertaining and memorable. Also, it's gonna be a pretty nice popcorn flick, so...300 ?
  • Morgan Freeman, Angela Bassett, Aaron Eckhart, and Gerard Butler in London Has Fallen (2016)

    3. London Has Fallen

    20161h 39mR28Metascore
    5.9 (176K)
    In London for the Prime Minister's funeral, Mike Banning is caught up in a plot to assassinate all the attending world leaders.
    DirectorBabak NajafiStarsGerard ButlerAaron EckhartMorgan Freeman
    Weekend: 26 million
    Domestic: 75 million
    Worldwide: 180 million
    While it is redundant to say the least, if the marketing campaign manages to pull it off and it doesn't get completely run over by the March slate, the actioner will impress to justify it's hefty budget
  • Kate Hudson, Jack Black, and Bryan Cranston in Kung Fu Panda 3 (2016)

    4. Kung Fu Panda 3

    20161h 35mPG66Metascore
    7.1 (205K)
    Continuing his "legendary adventures of awesomeness", Po must face two hugely epic, but different threats: one supernatural and the other a little closer to home.
    DirectorsAlessandro CarloniJennifer Yuh NelsonStarsJack BlackBryan CranstonDustin Hoffman
    Weekend: 50 million
    Domestic: 160 million
    Worldwide: 460 million
    Awesomeness is back, and let's hope the marketing is better this time around. With no competition until Zootopia in March, it should hold up well against Deadpool
  • Michael Fassbender in Assassin's Creed (2016)

    5. Assassin's Creed

    20161h 55mPG-1336Metascore
    5.6 (215K)
    Callum Lynch explores the memories of his ancestor Aguilar de Nerha and gains the skills of a Master Assassin, before taking on the secret Templar society.
    DirectorJustin KurzelStarsMichael FassbenderMarion CotillardJeremy Irons
    3 Day Weekend: 38 million
    5 Day Weekend: 50 million
    Domestic: 145 million
    Worldwide: 440 million
    Michael Freaking Fassbender stars in this, hopefully, faithful adaptation to the once mighty franchise, and while there's a possibility that it sucks, it should still get *beep* load of money. Opening one week after Rogue One is a ballsy move, and if it manages to be good, it could avoid being a horrid bomb
    Please be good.
    Oh god the first trailer. It was awesome. Would alter my predictions just a little higher.
    A reasonable comparison to this one is Legend of Tarzan. That opened to an impressive 38 million 3 day-debut and a 45 million Memorial haul, which should be reasonable for Assassin's Creed
  • Jason Bateman, Tommy Chong, Bonnie Hunt, Tom Lister Jr., Maurice LaMarche, Kristen Bell, Bono, Chaz Bono, César Bono, James Bono, Joseph Bono, Mary Bono, Sonny Bono, Steven Scot Bono, Steve Bono, Sebastian Cavazza, Bonar Colleano, Dan Cooper, Jesse Corti, Yves De Bono, Eurilla del Bono, John DiMaggio, Terri Douglas, Idris Elba, Fuschia!, Michael Giacchino, David Goetz, Ginnifer Goodwin, Byron Howard, Don Lake, Peter Mansbridge, Jeremy Milton, Rich Moore, Pace Paulsen, Raymond S. Persi, Fabienne Rawley, Jim Reardon, Shakira, J.K. Simmons, Kath Soucie, Octavia Spencer, Alan Tudyk, Gita Reddy, Dídac Bono, Nathan Warner, Kellie D. Lewis, Sofia Bono Prado, Jared Bush, Mark Rhino Smith, Clark Spencer, Brad Simonsen, Alan Bono, Chianna Bono, Chesare Bono, Novo Bono Jr., Josephine Bono, Bono, John Bono, Nate Torrence, Jill Cordes, Larry Herrera, Jennifer Lee, Phil Johnston, John Lavelle, Sara de Bono, Katie Lowes, Salvatore Bono, Melissa Goodwin Shepherd, Dave Kohut, Stacie Bono, Josh Dallas, Jenny Slate, Josie Trinidad, Thomas Bono, Leah Latham, Zach King, Christy Bono, Della Saba, Alyssa Ann Bono, Steven Bono Jr., Madeleine Curry, Krystle Bono, Evelyn Wilson Bresee, Hewitt Bush, Claire K. Smith, David A. Thibodeau, John Wheeler, Hannah G. Williams, Jackson Stein, Andrés Di Bono, Fernando Gonzalez, Valeria Bono, JoAnn Bono, Chiara Bono, and Amelia Bono in Zootopia (2016)

    6. Zootopia

    20161h 48mPG78Metascore
    8.0 (579K)
    In a city of anthropomorphic animals, a rookie bunny cop and a cynical con artist fox must work together to uncover a conspiracy.
    DirectorsByron HowardRich MooreJared BushStarsGinnifer GoodwinJason BatemanIdris Elba
    Weekend: 75 million
    Domestic: 260 million
    Worldwide: 790 million
    The follow up film in Disney Animation to Frozen, Zootopia boasts one heck of an idea, and if the impressive track record is all to suggest, Zootopia is one awesome film.
  • Ryan Reynolds in Deadpool (2016)

    7. Deadpool

    20161h 48mR65Metascore
    8.0 (1.2M)
    A wisecracking mercenary gets experimented on and becomes immortal yet hideously scarred, and sets out to track down the man who ruined his looks.
    DirectorTim MillerStarsRyan ReynoldsMorena BaccarinT.J. Miller
    Weekend:
    3 Day: 90 million
    4 Day: 110 million
    Domestic: 250 million
    Worldwide: 610 million
    The R-rated Deadpool is finally here, and through the Comic-Con reaction, Deadpool is gonna be the most faithful comic book film ever, with cursing, sex, blood, guns all over the place. As long as his mouth ain't sewn up, I'm good. The R-rating is a bit of a crapshoot at this point, but with the viral marketing campaign at full speed, Deadpool is gonna crack 600. With no clear adult competition until London Has Fallen, it's bound to 200 domestically
  • Shailene Woodley, Miles Teller, Zoë Kravitz, Nadia Hilker, Theo James, and Ansel Elgort in Allegiant (2016)

    8. Allegiant

    20162hPG-1333Metascore
    5.7 (141K)
    After the earth-shattering revelations of Insurgent, Tris must escape with Four beyond the wall that encircles Chicago to finally discover the shocking truth of the world outside.
    DirectorRobert SchwentkeStarsShailene WoodleyTheo JamesJeff Daniels
    Weekend: 30 million
    Domestic: 70 million
    Worldwide: 200 million
    Why oh why do you have to split the weakest book of the series in two parts ? The series isn't as well received as Hunger Games, or Harry Potter, or even freaking Twilight, and *beep* that's saying something. Another fall is likely. Schedule-wise, it is placed 1 week before BVS so it's inevitably gonna be crushed
  • Sigourney Weaver, Willem Dafoe, Diane Keaton, Albert Brooks, Ellen DeGeneres, John Ratzenberger, Deb Fink, Andrew Stanton, Brad Garrett, Allison Janney, David Arnott, Torbin Xan Bullock, Doug Burch, Ty Burrell, Cathy Cavadini, Judi M. Durand, Idris Elba, Bill Hader, Barbara Harris, Aaron Hendry, Andy Hirsch, Carlyle King, Eugene Levy, Vicki Lewis, Angus MacLane, Jeremy Maxwell, Kate McKinnon, Daniel Edward Mora, Ed O'Neill, Kaitlin Olson, Jason Pace, Austin Pendleton, Bob Peterson, David Randolph, Jerome Ranft, Katherine Ringgold, Stephen Root, Andreana Weiner, Dominic West, Aaron Fors, Alexander Gould, Will Collyer, Nancy Truman, Regina Taufen, Liza Seneca, Willow Geer, Dylan Naber, Carrie Paff, Terrell Ransom Jr., Alex Puccinelli, Dashell Zamm, Gunnar Sizemore, Molly Jackson, Emma Shannon, Daniella Jones, Dara Iruka, Carter Hastings, Paige Nan Pollack, Hayden Rolence, Riley Lio, Veronika Bonell, Ashlyn Faith Williams, Gabriel C. Brown, Bennett Dammann, Sloane Murray, and Lucia Geddes in Finding Dory (2016)

    9. Finding Dory

    20161h 37mPG77Metascore
    7.2 (320K)
    Friendly but forgetful blue tang Dory begins a search for her long-lost parents and everyone learns a few things about the real meaning of family along the way.
    DirectorsAndrew StantonAngus MacLaneStarsEllen DeGeneresAlbert BrooksEd O'Neill
    Weekend: 135 million
    Domestic: 400 million
    Worldwide: 1.0 billion
    The rather unnecesarry sequel to the Pixar masterpiece that was Finding Nemo will probably still make *beep* of money. And while the plot is unknown at the moment, there is a good chance it will still be one heck of a family fare
  • Don Cheadle, Robert Downey Jr., Paul Bettany, Chris Evans, Scarlett Johansson, Elizabeth Olsen, Jeremy Renner, Anthony Mackie, Chadwick Boseman, and Sebastian Stan in Captain America: Civil War (2016)

    10. Captain America: Civil War

    20162h 27mPG-1375Metascore
    7.8 (889K)
    Political involvement in the Avengers' affairs causes a rift between Captain America and Iron Man.
    DirectorsAnthony RussoJoe RussoStarsChris EvansRobert Downey Jr.Scarlett Johansson
    Weekend: 200 million
    Domestic: 445 million
    Worldwide: 1.43 billion
    The Marvel counterpart of Batman vs Superman, this supposedly stand alone Captain America film has turned into somewhat of an Avengers 2.5. If audience is into the idea of Captain going up against Iron Man, then this will at least match Age of Ultron. It's going for a billion.
  • Simon Pegg, Zachary Quinto, Zoe Saldaña, Sofia Boutella, and Chris Pine in Star Trek Beyond (2016)

    11. Star Trek Beyond

    20162h 2mPG-1368Metascore
    7.0 (265K)
    The crew of the USS Enterprise explores the furthest reaches of uncharted space, where they encounter a new ruthless enemy, who puts them, and everything the Federation stands for, to the test.
    DirectorJustin LinStarsChris PineZachary QuintoKarl Urban
    Weekend: 60 million
    Domestic: 170 million
    Worldwide: 430 million
    The second Star Trek in 2013 was somewhat of a surprise when it opened and closed significantly lower than the first Star Trek. Nonetheless, it might just be a bump along the way, and with the third Star Trek taking the adventure out into the far far away, there is a chance that it might be the series most ambitious yet. Marketing has been muted, so far, and there was little boost at CinemaCon. Beyond that, the trailer is irksome to say the least. Little hype and a lack of marketing boost should make this film gross slightly lower than the two previous films
  • Nicholas Hoult, James McAvoy, Michael Fassbender, Oscar Isaac, Evan Peters, Olivia Munn, Jennifer Lawrence, Kodi Smit-McPhee, Alexandra Shipp, Sophie Turner, Tye Sheridan, and Ben Hardy in X-Men: Apocalypse (2016)

    12. X-Men: Apocalypse

    20162h 24mPG-1352Metascore
    6.8 (479K)
    In the 1980s, the X-Men must defeat an ancient all-powerful mutant, En Sabah Nur, who intends to thrive by bringing destruction to the world.
    DirectorBryan SingerStarsJames McAvoyMichael FassbenderJennifer Lawrence
    Weekend:
    3 Day: 97 million
    4 Day: 110 million
    Domestic: 280 million
    Worldwide: 840 million
    Bryan Singer promised that this would be the most explosive, thoughtful and all-around best movie in the franchise, and with it opening on Memorial Day, it should at the very least, open in the same line with The Last Stand. But, the showdown of the year awaits, as Alice Through The Looking Glass is also opening, so it should be nice to see who comes out on top. My money's on Apocalypse. Plus, free publicity from Deadpool. There's an outside chance that it won't make it to a billion, as the marketing so far has felt...boring
    Update: the reviews were predominantly mixed. But I'm holding my grounds
  • Independence Day: Resurgence (2016)

    13. Independence Day: Resurgence

    20162hPG-1332Metascore
    5.2 (195K)
    Two decades after the first Independence Day invasion, Earth is faced with a new extra-Solar threat. But will mankind's new space defenses be enough?
    DirectorRoland EmmerichStarsLiam HemsworthJeff GoldblumBill Pullman
    Weekend: 70 million
    Domestic: 185 million
    Worldwide: 580 million
    The sequel is here, and it's bigger, better, and...Will Smith-less. Still, with the hype surrounding the production stage and the return of Jeff Goldblum, it should perform decently. A nice comparison iss World War Z, which opened in June, and was highly anticipated as well. Indenpendence Day should at least match that film domestically Internationally, the film should at least gross about 600 million, considering the disaster that was 2012 managed to make 600 back in 2009. Opening one week after Finding Dory might be a disadvantage, but it can hardly matter when the second trailer was surprisingly fun and nostalgia-filled. It could go either way, to be honest
  • Ice Cube and Kevin Hart in Ride Along 2 (2016)

    14. Ride Along 2

    20161h 42mPG-1332Metascore
    5.9 (65K)
    As his wedding day approaches, Ben heads to Miami with his soon-to-be brother-in-law James to bring down a drug dealer who's supplying the dealers of Atlanta with product.
    DirectorTim StoryStarsIce CubeKevin HartTika Sumpter
    Weekend: 30 million
    Domestic: 80 million
    Another Ride Along film, you say ? Why ? How ? Who green-lit this *beep* ? A drop similar to Paul Blart is fitting to this insanely stupid sequel.
  • Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows (2016)

    15. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows

    20161h 52mPG-1340Metascore
    5.9 (103K)
    The Turtles get into another battle with their enemy the Shredder, who has acquired new allies: the mutant thugs Bebop and Rocksteady and the alien being Krang.
    DirectorDave GreenStarsMegan FoxWill ArnettTyler Perry
    Weekend: 50 million
    Domestic: 170 million
    Worldwide: 400 million
    Casey Jones is in it. Bebop and Rocksteady are in it. Motherfreaking Krang. You *beep* this up and I will *beep* you like a pig Michael Bay.
  • Rose Byrne, Seth Rogen, Zac Efron, Chloë Grace Moretz, Beanie Feldstein, and Kiersey Clemons in Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising (2016)

    16. Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising

    20161h 32mR58Metascore
    5.7 (134K)
    When their new next-door neighbors turn out to be a sorority even more debaucherous than the fraternity that lived there before, Mac and Kelly team with their former enemy, Teddy, to bring the girls down.
    DirectorNicholas StollerStarsSeth RogenRose ByrneZac Efron
    Weekend: 40 million
    Domestic: 105 million
    Worldwide: 265 million
    The insane sequel to the R-rated hit Neighbors, Neighbors 2 should gain some profit as proven through the likes of Hangover and Hangover 2, another R-rated hit series that had an insanely good first film. Marketing so far hasn't been niche, and there is a chance it will suffer the same fate as Ted 2, but it probably won't bomb that bad as the reviews have been rather positive
  • Bonnie Aarons and Madison Wolfe in The Conjuring 2 (2016)

    17. The Conjuring 2

    20162h 14mR65Metascore
    7.3 (319K)
    Ed and Lorraine Warren travel to North London to help a single mother raising four children alone in a house plagued by a supernatural spirit.
    DirectorJames WanStarsVera FarmigaPatrick WilsonMadison Wolfe
    Weekend: 42 million
    Domestic: 115 million
    Worldwide: 305 million
    Conjuring 2 is here, and if Insidious has proven anything, it's going to outgross the original film, while it will also descend on quality of course. But there is a chance it won't, as it opened on the most awesome weekend of the year, featuring Warcraft and Now You See Me 2
  • Morgan Freeman, Michael Caine, Woody Harrelson, Lizzy Caplan, Jesse Eisenberg, Daniel Radcliffe, Mark Ruffalo, Jay Chou, and Dave Franco in Now You See Me 2 (2016)

    18. Now You See Me 2

    20162h 9mPG-1346Metascore
    6.4 (338K)
    The Four Horsemen resurface, and are forcibly recruited by a tech genius to pull off their most impossible heist yet.
    DirectorJon M. ChuStarsJesse EisenbergMark RuffaloWoody Harrelson
    Weekend: 26 million
    Domestic: 70 million
    Worldwide: 235 million
    On the weekend where the world will rush to the cinema, who's gonna be the odd one out ? There is a chance that it would be Now You See Me, but if it has something new to offer, or even if it intends to trigger the audience's minds, it could surprise. The marketing campaign hasn't exactly been noteworthy
  • Matt Damon in Jason Bourne (2016)

    19. Jason Bourne

    20162h 3mPG-1358Metascore
    6.6 (250K)
    The CIA's most dangerous former operative is drawn out of hiding to uncover more explosive truths about his past.
    DirectorPaul GreengrassStarsMatt DamonTommy Lee JonesAlicia Vikander
    Weekend: 68 million
    Domestic: 180 million
    Worldwide: 440 million
    Matt Damon's brainwashed vigilante on vengeance is back, and 100% without Jeremy Renner. As the Bourne series has proven, Bourne 5 will impress and be a box office hit, if you assume that Suicide Squad doesn't completely wipe it out.
    We're one month away from the release of Bourne, and it's worrying me that the buzz is almost non-existent. If Jason Bourne manages to ride the brand name, it still wouldn't match the height that was Ultimatum. Gonna retreat my prediction just a bit, something just higher than Supremacy's gross
  • 10 Cloverfield Lane (2016)

    20. 10 Cloverfield Lane

    20161h 43mPG-1376Metascore
    7.2 (371K)
    A young woman is held in an underground bunker by a man who insists that a hostile event has left the surface of the Earth uninhabitable.
    DirectorDan TrachtenbergStarsJohn GoodmanMary Elizabeth WinsteadJohn Gallagher Jr.
    Weekend: 30 million
    Domestic: 74 million
    Worldwide: 120 million
    Abrams is doing it again. Spectacularly announcing the film 2 months before it's scheduled, there is a small chance it will only be grounded home film with an apocalyptic monster touch thrown in in reshoots, but with all the secrecy and brilliance in it's marketing campaign, with the Super Bowl spot completely unannounced, it could pull another Cloverfield opening.
  • Bill Murray, Christopher Walken, Ben Kingsley, Idris Elba, Scarlett Johansson, Lupita Nyong'o, and Neel Sethi in The Jungle Book (2016)

    21. The Jungle Book

    20161h 46mPG77Metascore
    7.3 (299K)
    After a threat from the tiger Shere Khan forces him to flee the jungle, a man-cub named Mowgli embarks on a journey of self discovery with the help of panther Bagheera and free-spirited bear Baloo.
    DirectorJon FavreauStarsNeel SethiBill MurrayBen Kingsley
    Weekend: 70 million
    Domestic: 220 million
    Worldwide: 620 million
    The spectacular trailers, the impeccable cast, the fun family friendly touch and the golden schedule date (2 weeks after BvS and 3 weeks before Civil War), Disney has a lot working in its favor. Assuming that BvS loses steam by it's third week, and the following week's Huntsman sequel doesn't pull the audience out, Jungle Book may or may not touch 200 gold, but I'm betting it will
  • Jason Sudeikis, Danny McBride, and Josh Gad in The Angry Birds Movie (2016)

    22. The Angry Birds Movie

    20161h 37mPG43Metascore
    6.3 (111K)
    When an island populated by happy, flightless birds is visited by mysterious green pigs, it's up to three unlikely outcasts to figure out what the pigs are up to.
    DirectorsClay KaytisFergal ReillyStarsJason SudeikisJosh GadDanny McBride
    Weekend: 27 million
    Domestic: 75 million
    Worldwide: 380 million
    This is my total crapshoot. The closest example is Penguins of Madagascar, but that was released on Thanksgiving weekend, the most family-friendly weekend of the year, whereas Angry Birds opens just before the one-two punch that is Apocalypse and Alice. It still depends on whether the quality will be up for shoot or not, but I think this will, at the very least, reach 300
  • Johnny Depp, Helena Bonham Carter, Anne Hathaway, Sacha Baron Cohen, Matt Lucas, and Mia Wasikowska in Alice Through the Looking Glass (2016)

    23. Alice Through the Looking Glass

    20161h 53mPG34Metascore
    6.2 (129K)
    Alice is appointed to save her beloved Mad Hatter from deadly grief by travelling back to the past, but this means fatally harming Time himself, the noble clockwork man with the device needed to save the Hatter's family from the Red Queen.
    DirectorJames BobinStarsMia WasikowskaJohnny DeppHelena Bonham Carter
    Weekend: 40 million
    4 day: 50 million
    Domestic: 125 million
    Worldwide: 520 million
    There is absolutely no reason for this unnecessary sequel to exist. The first movie was a colorless affair with unlikeable characters and delirious storytelling. Plus, the insane battle with X-Men Apocalypse, which will likely end with Alice's inevitable loss, should diminish it's box office prospect spectacularly. Worldwide though, Johnny Depp is still a major star, so it should wind up with at least 500
  • Travis Fimmel and Toby Kebbell in Warcraft (2016)

    24. Warcraft

    20162h 3mPG-1332Metascore
    6.7 (289K)
    As an Orc horde invades the planet Azeroth using a magic portal, a few human heroes and dissenting Orcs must attempt to stop the true evil behind this war.
    DirectorDuncan JonesStarsTravis FimmelPaula PattonBen Foster
    Weekend: 30 million
    Domestic: 102 million
    Worldwide: 440 million
    Will it finally be the time when video game movies are taken seriously ? I hope it will. Opening early June, heavy publicity, a lot of hype and some very positively received TV spots that have wiped the divisive taste of the trailer are reasons why I hope this won't bomb all that bad. And with Duncan Jones at the helm, I really hope it will be good.
  • Ben Stiller, Will Ferrell, Penélope Cruz, Owen Wilson, and Kristen Wiig in Zoolander 2 (2016)

    25. Zoolander 2

    20161h 41mPG-1334Metascore
    4.7 (79K)
    Derek and Hansel are lured into modelling again, in Rome, where they find themselves the target of a sinister conspiracy.
    DirectorBen StillerStarsBen StillerOwen WilsonPenélope Cruz
    Weekend: 17 million
    Domestic: 35 million
    Worldwide: 50 million
    To me, I simply think this is an awful cash grab that will be sexist, racist, unfunny, predictable and utterly unwatchable. Ben Stiller hasn't been the most successful comedy star in a long time, and with the movie's trailer boasting from zero to minimal laughs, I expect this to bomb miserably

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